By Chris Kanthan
What’s happening in Iran? Are the protests honestly spontaneous? Are the grievances authentic and deep-rooted? Or is it a play combined by covert, regime-change puppeteers? And what are the geopolitical implications of the success or disaster of these events?
The categorical supposed reason is a unwell economy, but some of the protesters are even job for the end of Islamic Republic.
Undoubtedly, the college-educated, Iranian Middle Class wants to get absolved of Sharia Law. After all, Iran was utterly physical before 1979.
However, the account about the economy creates no sense. Iran’s economy has been booming for the last two years given the US/EU sanctions were removed. If there was an ideal time for an mercantile uprising, it would have been between 2012 and 2015. Below is a picture of real GDP expansion in the last 7 years:
As for high unemployment, it’s caused by U.S. sanctions that decimated Iran’s exports; and the high acceleration is a outcome Wall Street’s fight on Iran’s banking (Rial). In 2012, Obama also cut off Iran from the universe banking complement (SWIFT) and froze $100 billion of Iran’s unfamiliar sell reserves.
However, Iran has managed to flower by building new family and distinguished lucrative mercantile deals with many countries.
- China has agreed to invest $25 billion in several projects within Iran
- Qatar is partnering with Iran on the largest healthy gas margin on earth
- Russia has concluded to build a 1200-km gas pipeline from Iran to India; and Russia is operative with Iran on joining their banking systems (which means leisure from general bankers)
- Iran is staid to join EAEU (Eurasian Economic Union) and the powerful SCO (Shanghai Co-op Org) in early 2018, and so on.
In unfamiliar affairs, Iran won the Syrian war, defeated ISIS, and successfully negotiated the nuclear deal (JCPOA) with Obama. Even mainstream US media has announced that Iran is the new superpower in the Middle East.
Thus, in domestic and unfamiliar affairs, there are copiousness of reasons for Iranians to be carefree and proud.
What’s Next? The CIA and Israeli agencies have been plainly formulation regime change operations against Iran for the last year. All the stream events are just replays, if you remember the method of events in 2011 in Libya and Syria.
Things are sharpening rapidly, protesters are branch violent, and militant attacks are directed at crippling the economy. There are videos of protesters burning police stations and attacking supervision buildings and throwing grenades. Sunni jihadists — favorite substitute soldiers of globalists —blew up oil pipelines on the third day of protests. The next couple of weeks will establish the predestine of this attempted coup.
Geopolitical Importance of Iran: There are countless reasons because Iran is geopolitically pivotal. To start with, Iran has the 4th largest oil pot in the universe and also shares the largest healthy gas pot with Qatar. A sanction-free Iran will be a critical aspirant to Saudi and US oil/gas corporations.
Second, the Persian Gulf is the passage for 40% of all oil tankers in the world. A fight with Iran has the intensity to fleece the universe economy.
Then there’s the Shiite Crescent that comprises of 4 constant countries: Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon. (Oh, translate Lebanon into Hezbollah). Two countries who fear this reality are Saudi Arabia and Israel. And the disaster of Neocons to conquer Syria after 6 years of substitute wars has only reinforced the coercion to vacate Iran, which plays a major role in fortifying Assad.
Geographically, Iran is the couple between the Middle East on one side and the Caucasus, Central Asia and South Asia on the other side.
With a large, well-educated center category race and large pot of oil/gas, Iran has the intensity to turn a absolute economy and a widespread nation, if given a chance. It has been removed for 38 years and is prepared to sprint. That’s where Russia and China come in.
Iran-Russia-China Alliance: Labeled as revisionist powers by the Trump administration, Russia and China are operative to commission Iran and win the Eurasian game.
For Russia, a accessible Iran means some-more change in the Middle East and a secure Russian military bottom in Syria. Putin has also brought Turkey and Iran together, both of whom are now business of Russian weapons and barb invulnerability systems.
For China, Iran is a pivotal member of the new Silk Road, as burden trains from China go by Iran to several destinations in the Middle East, Africa and Europe. Iran is also peaceful to abstain the U.S. dollar and accept Chinese Yuan for its oil. China can use this to force Saudi Arabia and other countries to do the same, which will help Yuan (Renminbi) renovate into a global haven currency. This is a calamity conditions for petrodollar, Wall Street, and the US government.
With Iran in its pocket, China’s next idea will be Afghanistan, which is sandwiched between Iran and Pakistan. Pakistan has flattering much left the US circuit now, having embraced China’s CPEC plan that promises $60 billion of infrastructure spending. CPEC has been so successful that Afghanistan is holding talks to join that project. Imagine the U.S. losing Afghanistan after wasting $1 trillion there in the last 17 years.
So, this is the worst-case scenario: Russia-China-Iran fondness ends up kicking the US out of all the countries from Turkey to China. According to geopolitical experts, who controls Eurasia, controls the globe.
To know Iran’s doubt towards the West, one must demeanour at the last 150 years of Iranian history.
Colonialism: Iran was desired by the Russians, British and others for a prolonged time. In 1872, Baron Reuter – founder of Reuters news – purchased a immeasurable apportionment of Iran, only to give it back after a outrageous outcry! In 1909, the British detected oil in Iran, kept 90% of the profits, and ruthlessly exploited the Iranian workers, who had to live in slums. Later, in 1951, a renouned Iranian Prime Minister nationalized the oil industry.
Outraged(!), British spy agency, MI6, then sought out CIA’s assistance. Together, in 1953, they spent millions bribing the right people to theatre a feign series and got absolved of Mossadegh, the democratically inaugurated PM. In return, U.S. oil companies got 40% of Iran’s oil. (A declassified CIA request from 1953 has the following title: “Campaign to install pro-western supervision in Iran.”)
The strict Shah of Iran stable the Western oil firms and bought a lot of US weapons. Thus he was desired by the US/European elites who incited a blind eye towards his human rights violations and domestic oppression. He wasn’t all bad, given he embraced secularism, built successful automobile production companies and modernized Iran in many ways.
US Switched to Saudi Arabia Betrayed Iran: However, during the oil predicament of the 1970s, Kissinger and other globalists found a new partner: Saudi Arabia. The Saudis concluded to sell oil only in US dollar and also recycle much of the oil increase back to the US. Perhaps there was also a contention of Saudis assisting partisan jihadists for anti-USSR wars in Afghanistan. In return for all these, the US concluded to dump Iran as an fan and make Saudis the King of the Middle East.