By Brandon Turbeville
After the better of ISIS and the ransom of Deir ez Zour, the Syrian military is now environment its sights on the militant capitol of Idlib. While progressing a vast militant participation given the commencement of the conflict, several cease-fire agreements have seen terrorists shipped from cities and towns from all opposite the country into Idlib city and province. As a result, a vast thoroughness of terrorists now stock the area and so Idlib represents the last major battle to eliminate Islamic nonconformist terrorists from Syria (not counting the Kurdish extremists in the north and northeast).
Indeed, in the last several weeks, the Syrian military has launched a vast series of successful operations in Idlib province, liberating scarcely fifty villages and towns. Terrorist infighting has also helped the Syrian government’s operations since, given the inlet of extremists, many of these groups have been battling one another over the march of the last few years.
But as the Syrian military closes in on terrorists in Idlib, there is another rivalry plainly embedded in the area that presents the probability of a wider fight and larger dispute if the two forces meet.
The Turkish military deployed troops to Idlib last October, allegedly as partial of an agreement with Russia and Iran to “enforce de-escalation zones” in the area, but, in reality, it is some-more of a defensive magnitude against Kurdish extremists. It was also clearly an try to apparatus some-more domain from Syria and to seaside up the terrorists Turkey has been ancillary given day one in the Syrian crisis.
As Reuters reported in October, 2017
A first procession of the military operation that Turkey is carrying out in Syria’s Idlib range crossed into the area late on Thursday, two rebels and a declare said.
The procession enclosed about 30 military vehicles, pronounced Abu Khairo, a commander in a Free Syrian Army (FSA) insurgent organisation formed in the area, and it entered Syria nearby the Bab al-Hawa limit crossing, according to a municipal witness.
It was streamer to Sheikh Barakat, a hilltop that overlooks vast areas of rebel-held northwestern Syria, but also the Afrin area held by the Kurdish YPG militia.
The procession was escorted by fighters from Tahrir al-Sham, an fondness of jihadist groups including the former al Qaeda associate formerly famous as the Nusra Front, Abu Khairo said.
“The Turkish army procession is entering under the insurance of Tahrir al-Sham to take positions on the front line with the YPG,” another FSA central in the area said.
Turkey pronounced on Saturday it was carrying out a military operation in Idlib and surrounding areas as partial of a understanding it reached with Russia and Iran last month to make a “de-escalation” section in northwest Syria.
The section is one of several set up around Syria to revoke crusade between rebels, including groups corroborated by Turkey, and the government, which is upheld by both Russia and Iran.
UPI News explains the agreement offer by reporting,
Last September, the devise for Idlib was altered by the Russians, at Ankara’s request. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had been wanting to send troops to the countryside of Damascus and Aleppo, arguing that they could guard the cease-fire and offer as a aegis between warring factions. This would give Erdogan a permanent foothold in Syrian territory, under the powerful of the Russian-imposed cease-fire.
The idea, however, was deserted by the Iranians, who vowed never to give the Turks what they had been denied after antithesis forces had refused to accept Iranian peacekeeping troops in Ghouta, the agricultural belt surrounding Damascus.
Tehran concluded to demeanour the other way as Erdogan’s forces marched into Idlib province, which borders Turkey, if the Turkish boss sealed off on augmenting Iranian troops around Damascus. The Turkish military pierce was positioned as partial of the general peace-keeping forces mandated by the Astana process.
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As illegal as it may be for the Turks to be environment up shop in Syria, the fact is they are there and the Syrian military is marching usually toward those positions. Keep in mind that the Syrian President has already betrothed to acquit every in. of Syria from all invading forces.
This presents a major military question. Once the Syrian military reaches the positions held by the Turkish military, will it continue its pull and strife with Turkey? Will Turkey repel as Syria pushes forward? Will Syria and Turkey negotiate an exit for the Turkish troops? Will Syria stop brief of liberating areas with deployed Turkish military personnel? Have the Russians concluded to assign Syria? Are there other variable agendas afoot?
And what happens if Turkey and Syria clash? Turkey is a member of NATO and, if the two rivet a approach clash, it could be argued that the NATO covenant could be invoked and NATO forces competence then try to pierce against the Syrian government. Russia too would have decisions to make if a dispute breaks out between Syria and Turkey. Does Russia continue to back Syria and risk being drawn in to a wider (or massive) military fight with Turkey and/or NATO? Likewise, Iran and Hezbollah will also be drawn into the military brew .
At this point, we can only wait and see what march the new military operations take. However, for the consequence of everybody in the segment and for the consequence of the rest of the world, the Turks must leave Syrian domain immediately and stop all support being supposing to terrorists channel the Turk/Syria limit and those that now reside in Syria.
Brandon Turbeville writes for Activist Post – essay repository here – He is the author of 7 books, Codex Alimentarius — The End of Health Freedom, 7 Real Conspiracies, Five Sense Solutions and Dispatches From a Dissident, volume 1 and volume 2, The Road to Damascus: The Anglo-American Assault on Syria, The Difference it Makes: 36 Reasons Why Hillary Clinton Should Never Be President, and Resisting The Empire: The Plan To Destroy Syria And How The Future Of The World Depends On The Outcome. Turbeville has published over 1000 articles on a far-reaching accumulation of subjects including health, economics, supervision corruption, and polite liberties. Brandon Turbeville’s radio show Truth on The Tracks can be found every Monday night 9 pm EST at UCYTV. His website is BrandonTurbeville.com He is accessible for radio and TV interviews. Please hit activistpost (at) gmail.com.
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